Qualitative risk assessment for the endemisation of Dirofilaria repens in the state of Brandenburg (Germany) based on temperature-dependent vector competence.

Abstract

Climate change with an increase in average temperature may be responsible for propagation of temperature-dependent vectors and/or vector-associated pathogens in regions that were previously not endemic. The analysis of climate data of Brandenburg state (Germany) had showed that the extrinsic development of Dirofilaria repens, the causative agent of canine subcutaneous dirofilariosis, was possible from the years 2001 to 2012. This finding, associated to the movement of infected dogs and their relocation from endemic European areas to Germany makes possible a rapid endemization of the infection and highlight the risk for human health, being D. repens a frequent cause of zoonotic infections.